Tehran, Nov 26, IRNA - OPEC is considering exemptions for three nations from any potential oil-production cuts. Saudi Arabias oil minister said he doesnt anticipate a difficult meeting when the group meets on Nov. 27 to decide its response to slumping crude.Iraq, Iran and Libya wouldnt have to reduce supplies should the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries agree to cut output at its gathering in Vienna, according to two people, who asked not to be identified in line with their national policies. Ali Al-Naimi, Saudi Arabias oil minister, told reporters in the Austrian capital that its not the first time the oil market has been oversupplied, Bloomberg reported on Monday.
The Saudi minister told reporters that he didnt know what OPEC should do at its next meeting. Still, he said that the event wont be difficult, without elaborating.
Is this the first time that the market is oversupplied? he said. It is not the first time that the market is oversupplied.
Discussions to spare Iran, Iraq and Libya, one of several proposals under discussion, reflect the fact the three countries are pumping below their potential, the two people said.
They pumped almost 7 million barrels a day between them last month, compared with total OPEC output of 31 million, according to estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Their combined 1970s peak was more than 10 million barrels a day.
Russian Response
Russias energy minister said Sunday his country hasnt decided to cut oil production as he prepares to meet with OPEC ministers to discuss the crude market. Russia is already helping to balance the oil market by keeping output steady, Alexander Novak said in an interview with state TV channel Rossiya 24. Theres only a small chance that OPEC will agree to reduce output at this weeks meeting, he said.
Iraq, the second-largest producer in OPEC, plans to almost double oil production to 6 million barrels a day by 2017. It pumped 3.2 million barrels a day this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
The countrys industry is bouncing back from decades of war and underinvestment that caused production to decline from 2.6 million barrels a day in 2000 to 1.4 million in 2003, the year the U.S. invaded and deposed Saddam Hussein, the data show.
Since 2012, Iran and Libya have been the biggest source of supply disruption in the global oil market, Societe Generale SA said in an e-mailed report Sunday.
Libya Strife
Due to Iran, because of sanctions, and to Libya, because of fighting between tribal militias, the impact of rising shale oil production in the U.S. was offset, the bank said. But the disruptions arent increasing anymore, they are decreasing.
Libya, holder of Africas largest crude reserves, produced an average of 437,000 barrels a day of oil this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Thats less than a third of the 1.55 million a day produced in 2010, before the rebellion that ended Muammar Qaddafis 42-year rule. Political divides and violence have intensified amid a lack of central authority since the uprising, undercutting efforts to restore production.
Samir Kamal, Libyas OPEC governor, said last month the country shouldnt have to cut its production. Libya was out of oil markets for almost a year and other OPEC members have said they will make room for the country to revive output, he said.
Libyas production fell as low as 215,000 barrels a day in April when oil ports were shut by rebels seeking self-rule in the eastern region, according to state-run National Oil Corp. Production recovered to 850,000 barrels a day last month, before falling about 40 percent after Islamist militants halted the countrys largest oil field, Sharara, on Nov. 5.
Iran Sanctions
Irans oil production is curtailed by U.S. and European sanctions aimed at pressuring the country over its nuclear program. The Persian Gulf state pumped an average of 2.8 million barrels a day this year, down 23 percent from 3.6 million in 2011, the year before tighter sanctions were imposed, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Envoys representing Iran and a group of world powers agreed to extend nuclear talks until July after failing to overcome differences at negotiations in Vienna. Officials didnt immediately say how extending talks would affect the November 2013 interim pact that restricted some Iranian nuclear activities in exchange for limited sanctions relief.
Iran will protect its share of global crude sales under all circumstances, Oil Minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh said Nov. 21, according to the ministrys news website Shana. The Persian Gulf nation can double oil exports within two months if sanctions are removed, he said.
By IRNA
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